Is Trump's Weakness Inviting China to Invade Taiwan?

2025-06-01 12:00:21.364

The belief that bad things come in threes is a superstition, but the possibility of war in Asia following conflicts in Europe and the Middle East is a real concern. India and Pakistan's recent missile exchanges, and North Korea's threats, highlight this risk. However, China's potential invasion of Taiwan is the most alarming. Xi Jinping reportedly aims to conquer Taiwan by 2027, and US officials believe China has the capability to invade now. China's military exercises, propaganda, and the labeling of Taiwan's president as a "peace destroyer" indicate preparations for conflict. While peace has held since 1979, China's increased power and Xi's legacy goals increase the risk. Trump's aggressive trade policies and hostility toward China are seen as provocative, potentially pushing Xi toward a decision. Trump's reluctance to engage in conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, coupled with his criticisms of Taiwan's economic practices, suggests he may not defend Taiwan militarily. Some US commentators advocate for a less confrontational approach, suggesting a potential abandonment of Taiwan. Taiwan remains vulnerable, facing military modernization challenges and ongoing Chinese incursions. The conventional wisdom that China prioritizes stability might be wrong; Xi may see a golden opportunity due to Trump's weakening of US influence. The article suggests that Xi might be emboldened to take Taiwan, completing what he sees as a 'hat trick' of reunifications before his time in power ends.